🍒 Blackjack Progression Systems Don't Work - BJcom

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BLACKJACK DOUBLE UP STRATEGY! CSGOATSE - EPISODE 108

All of a sudden, you have a lot of money on the table and it's going to take a looooonnnng winning streak to get it back. Any system that relies on a betting progression to beat a negative expectation game will fail. It looks like this: and so on. Green Chip is a subscription only message board for those serious about beating the casinos. Not a good deal when the house has the advantage. Dahl's Progression: This system is found in Dahl's book Progression Blackjack, which claims to expose the "card counting myth" and give the player "an edge in '21'. It would look like this in practice: 1, lose and go to 2, lose and go to 3, win and drop to 2, lose and go to 3, lose again, bet 4, win, bet 3 ad infinitum. One of them, some call a "Super Martingale," where you add one unit to your next bet after doubling it. The progression goes: If you lose, go to the next step. Instead of doubling your bets after a loss, you double after each win. Must have discipline though. Now we're talking! It's a bad way to lose good money. Flat bet until you lose. If, as in many blackjack games, a non-counting basic strategy player can expect the house to have a half a percent advantage, the fact is, he is losing one-half percent of each bet he makes. Of course, if you lose a bet in the series, you have wiped out your wins plus one unit. A blackjack entitles you to skip a step and a double down lets you skip two steps. The premise is simple: you double your bet after each loss until you win, then you start over. It might go like this: 1-L. If you win, you proceed to the inside numbers until they are all cancelled out. It's unfortunate that there are several books on the market published by individuals who claim that their "systems" can somehow defy the laws of mathematics. Again, a loser, and an insidious one. No amount of tweaks, twists or twiddling is going to make them winning systems. The more he bets, the more he loses. The "systems" touted in these books are worthless scams. If you win that, go back to two units, then steadily go up and back until you've reached some pre-set cutoff point, or, until you run into the table limit. If you ever get to the top bet, which might be expected to happen once every 10, hands or so, factoring in ties, you stay there until you lose. The fact is, they don't. New Jersey casino re Nevada casinos to re Money Management in False imprisonment o December 19, Views so far: {/INSERTKEYS}{/PARAGRAPH} You start with two units. At that point, raise your bet one unit and bet at that level until you have recouped your loss plus one unit. If you win, double the last bet. It looks attractive, but the end result is the same: you will eventually lose all of your money. The problems with this system should be obvious to anyone. More info. Martingale: This is the most infamous of these types of systems and they all bear some relationship to it. Hoyle's Press, aka Oscar's Grind: This system is designed to win one unit per series. Fibonacci: This system is a little more sophisticated, but the results can be as devastating as our old friend Martingale. Selling such a system is a scam, pure and simple. An example would be Win any two in that series and its over. {PARAGRAPH}{INSERTKEYS}Often, there are questions from individuals, usually new players, asking about progression betting systems. There is no "easy money" in blackjack. It is touted as a "power" system. A progression is NOT "advantage play" - it's a loser's system. Pick a series of numbers; say 1,2,3,4,5. Martingale comes in other guises. I've just discovered this great new system where you double your bet after every loss until you win. Sometimes, we'll see a post from someone who says, "Hey everybody! Posts Topics Articles Usernames. Labouchere: This is also known as the cancellation system. It might be useful to discuss the most common betting progressions in order to let folks identify them when they see them. Long losing streaks are not uncommon in blackjack, and when you encounter one and you will, and it will be just long enough to break you , you will lose everything you have gained. The series is designed with five numbers. If you win, you "pull back" or "regress" to one unit. This type of double-up progression can come in many guises, but the principle is the same. If you win, you are one unit ahead for your series and you begin again. If you win a bet, fall back one in the series. Instead of relying on one win to get you back in the black, it relies on two. If you win that one, start over. Instead of using a progression system, you may as well run around in circles, yelling, "I wish I had money, I wish I had money. A common series would look like this: 1 unit, lose, bet two units, lose, bet four units, lose, bet eight units and so on. Then continue to flat bet until a win. Win any two of them and you've won the series and you can start over. D'Alembert: In this system, you raise your bet one unit if you lose and lower it one unit if you win, which means your winning bets will be higher than your losing bets. Sometimes you loose your buy in, sometimes you hit your goal. Please log in or register to leave a comment. If you win that, start all over, if you lose, go to the next step. Without card counting or some other form of advantage play, a progression is a system you don't want to use if you are serious about making money in the casino. Thus, you have won one unit from your initial two-unit loss and your series is over. Such books are a total waste of money. Your first bet is the total of the two numbers on the end, or 6 units in this case. It's still a loser. Click here for more information on Green Chip membership. If you lose, continue on in the series. The "31" system takes its name from the total number of units in the series. Once you hit your goal, walk away. All of the systems described above have many variations, but they all purport to give a person the edge in a negative expectation game. If you lose it, you cancel out the 1 and the 5, add the six to the end of the series and bet the 6 and the 2, for a total of eight units bet. It is a series of numbers, each of which is the sum of the last two numbers in the system, like this: Advice about betting it varies, but one of the more common is to bet the series as you lose. A ten loss series would have you down 55 units and you would have a hard time getting out of that hole. You can expect to see about 3 of those losing streaks in every ten hours of play figuring in pushes, and assuming hands per hour. This system looks good until you run into a spotty streak followed by a long losing streak. They have one thing in common -- they don't work. The most common progression systems are either "up as you lose" systems or the exact opposite, "up as you win" progressions. You can't lose! You must learn a legitimate method of advantage play in order to win in the long run. Wait until you've hit the last bet in the series and you lose a double down hand. New Articles. Win two bets and go to the next level. Reverse Martingale: This system is the opposite of the Martingale described above. Any loss in the series and you start over. Forget about them!